Research talk:Measuring the effect of cross-linking missing articles in English Wikivoyage/Work log/2019-06-03
Monday, June 3, 2019 edit
I've been bad at making log entries. I've been experimenting with timeseries methods. I finally have a working forecast model based on weekly article creations.
I learned from this model that anonymous article creations are still in-line with the model's forecast.
One Sample t-test data: d_anon_with_forecast[!is.na(diff), ]$diff t = -0.437, df = 7, p-value = 0.3376 alternative hypothesis: true mean is less than 0 95 percent confidence interval: -Inf 4.598506 sample estimates: mean of x -1.378704
This means we're getting about 1.3 fewer anon article creations than we expect per week over the last few weeks, but the effect is too small to be sure it's not just statistical noise. --Halfak (WMF) (talk) 21:58, 3 June 2019 (UTC)